XS1 SWINGLIVE

generated Fri Jul 31 2026 · 1:14 PM CT · epoch: Clean slate 2026-07-27

Live Book

TickerSideUnitsEntryStop LastOpen R1RGrimes10d ActionEnteredCohort
book is flat
exit rule: half off at +1R, trail the rest on Grimes' published stop · reviewed after the close, every change Rob-confirmed · Grimes column derived, issue 07/31/26 · 10d = 10-session low (long) / high (short), reference only

Cohort-0 Progress

2 closed of 20 clean cycles
0 open · adjudication at 20 closed

List State (derived, issue 07/31/26)

UnderwaySideStop
CBRL LONG55.08
Setting UpSideStop
ACI SHORT12.46
GOOGL SHORT347.00
LQDA LONG80.50
REXR LONG37.75

C-S Paper Book

—
gap-adjusted / trade
raw —
clean-borrow — (0)
0 closed of 20 · 2 invalidated pre-entry (never became positions, excluded from expectancy)
WhenTickerOutcomeNote
07-27RGTIinvalidated pre-entryINVALIDATED pre-entry: gapped +6.6% to open 15.09, THROUGH the stop
07-27QBTSinvalidated pre-entryINVALIDATED pre-entry: gapped +10.8% to open 17.96, THROUGH the stop
adjudication at 20 closed — expectancy reported raw, gap-adjusted, and clean-borrow-only per the realism spec. Gap-adjusted is the number that counts.

Qullamaggie Forward Test

-0.615R
expectancy
13
closed
0%
win rate
10
open
16
awaiting entry
1
invalidated
paper only · benchmarks: 0R and the Grimes mechanical control −0.098R · verdict at 50 closed or 2026-12-31 · breakeven ratchet added 7/31

Awaiting entry — next open

TickerSignal closeStopADRBaseMove
ADPT24.1822.076.12%10.1%+82%
BLLN139.59130.866.05%11.1%+89%
CNMD46.9845.955.56%12.8%+45%
COGT41.3639.304.58%10.4%+33%
CORT118.32104.945.17%11.2%+110%
HIW34.4034.242.4%5.5%+43%
ILMN205.09194.493.85%10.6%+65%
KSS19.5018.735.31%13.4%+66%
MMSI80.8476.403.08%10.3%+30%
MTN160.01156.583.42%10.7%+31%
NBIX185.50176.802.86%8.2%+43%
NSP53.1852.575.3%12.0%+86%
PARR85.9180.584.72%13.6%+65%
PRGS42.7140.025.52%11.3%+56%
SLDE22.1421.344.33%11.0%+34%
WTW336.05323.092.78%12.6%+33%

Open paper book

TickerEntryStopHalf offSignal date
ASH74.4569.79—2026-07-29
BAX29.0724.28—2026-07-29
CAKE101.5092.53—2026-07-29
CBRL56.5054.09—2026-07-29
CHEF104.00100.17✔2026-07-29
GKOS180.22145.78—2026-07-29
HAE84.5881.72—2026-07-29
LAD420.59374.47—2026-07-29
SNOW285.00277.82✔2026-07-29
TXRH207.66203.68—2026-07-29

Closed

TickerStatusRExit
PKSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
PAYXSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
AJGSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
LTHINVALIDATED_PRE_ENTRY—2026-07-30
ADPSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
BOXSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
GPNSTOPPED+0.00R2026-07-30
PAGSTOPPED+0.00R2026-07-30
ABGSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
BFAMSTOPPED+0.00R2026-07-30
DBXSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
PARRSTOPPED+0.00R2026-07-30
ALLSTOPPED+0.00R2026-07-30
FRSHSTOPPED-1.00R2026-07-30
Weekly Grok sentiment → cross-sectional sector rotation. Scores sum to ~zero: this is RELATIVE rotation, not market direction. Research only — 40-observation adjudication series, no execution authority.

ADJ-2026-07-26 (run 2026-07-26)

SectorRotation −5 … +5ScoreConfType
XLE
+50.9positioning led
XLI
+30.8positioning led
XLF
+20.75narrative heavy
XLU
+20.7balanced
XLV
+10.65balanced
XLB
+10.7positioning led
XLRE
+10.65positioning led
XLP
+00.55narrative heavy
XLY
-30.8narrative heavy
XLK
-50.85positioning led
XLC
-50.85narrative heavy
Clear defensive/value/cyclical rotation out of crowded growth/tech/comms into energy, industrials, utilities and select real assets; positioning claims strongest in XLE/XLI/XLK outflows.

ADJ-2026-07-20 (run 2026-07-21)

SectorRotation −5 … +5ScoreConfType
XLE
+50.9positioning dominant
XLV
+30.8positioning dominant
XLP
+20.8positioning dominant
XLI
+10.65narrative heavy
XLU
+10.7balanced
XLRE
+10.65narrative heavy
XLF
-10.7balanced
XLY
-20.75positioning dominant
XLB
-30.75positioning dominant
XLC
-30.75positioning dominant
XLK
-40.85positioning dominant
Defensive risk-off rotation dominant in latest sessions: capital flowing into energy (geopolitical/oil hedge) and defensives (XLV/XLP/XLU/XLRE) while exiting tech/growth and cyclicals; earlier mixed risk-on faded; narrow breadth, selective institutional flows.